Chicago mayoral poll reveals frontrunner ahead of runoff election

A new poll has shed light on the final two candidates headed for the Chicago mayoral runoff election next month.

The poll, which was conducted March 6-9 from a pool of 806 likely Chicago runoff voters, found former Chicago Public Schools CEO Paul Vallas holds a slim lead over Cook County Commissioner Brandon Johnson.

The poll, accurate to within about 3.4 percentage points, was done by Victory Research of Chicago. It found 44.9% of voters would vote for Vallas while 39.1% would support Johnson. 

Sixteen percent of respondents said they are still undecided.

"On the Northwest Side of the city, Vallas leads Johnson by a three-to-one margin (61.7%-20.4%). On the Southwest Side, Vallas holds a similar, though statistically smaller lead (597%-25.9%). The Johnson campaign counters by holding a wide lead on both the South Side of the city (62.4%-19.8%), and the West Side (63.3%-26.6%). Vallas leads among White voters (61.3%23.8%), while Johnson leads among Black voters (62.8%-28.7%), according to the poll," Victory Research said in a statement.


The pollsters said a plurality of respondents who voted for Mayor Lori Lightfoot, Rep. Jesus "Chuy" Garcia and other candidates in the single digits favor Johnson in the runoff. 

Lakefront voters favor Vallas 44.4% to 41% while the two candidates are virtually deadlocked among Hispanic respondents: 39.5% to 38.3%

Early voting for the April 4th runoff election begins March 20 in Chicago.

Ald. Matt O’Shea (19th) endorsed Vallas as the Southside Irish Parade kicked off on Sunday. Vallas’ other supporters include former challengers Roderick Sawyer, Willie Wilson, former Sec. of State Jesse White and the Fraternal Order of Police.

"At the end of the day, we can’t tax our way out of our problems and let's fill the police vacancies that are there," Vallas said. "Let’s restore beat integrity, let's restore community policing."

Johnson joined supporters Sunday at Grace Church of Logan Square for a "Bring Chicago Home Peoples Hearing." The group worked to address citywide homelessness.

Johnson’s latest endorsements include the SEIU Healthcare union, Illinois Nurses Association, Cook County Board President Toni Preckwinkle, Congressman Danny Davis and Senator Elizabeth Warren.