New poll shows 22% of Chicago voters undecided in mayor's race, with 16% Lightfoot, 14% Wilson
CHICAGO - A new group called 1983 Labs says its poll of 554 likely Chicago mayoral voters found Mayor Lori Lightfoot at 16%, Willie Wilson 14% and Paul Vallas 10%.
"It is a good poll for Willie and Lori and a couple other candidates," said Benjamin Bobo of 1983 Labs. "But I would be cautious about drawing too much from saying, you know, 'This is saying who's gonna be in the runoff.'"
SUBSCRIBE TO FOX 32 CHICAGO ON YOUTUBE
Not least because undecided, at 22%, is the survey's actual first-place finisher; followed by Lightfoot, Wilson, Vallas, Brandon Johnson, Chuy Garcia, Sophia King, Kam Buckner and Ja'mal Green.
1983 Labs says it contacts voters via social media and focus group-style panels, speaking only in English.
By contrast, M3 Consultants last month found Vallas at 26%, Garcia 19%, Johnson 12%, Lightfoot 10% and Wilson 9%. M3 questions voters in both Spanish and English via text to internet.
Yet another survey -- by suburban-based Cor Strategies last week -- found Lightfoot at 23% and Vallas at 21% (a statistical tie), with Garcia at 13% and Wilson 8%.
Cor Strategies' Collin Corbett noted that the turnout for early voting so far in Chicago is even lower than it was four years ago, when only 36% turne out, with violent crime still the number one issue.
"I think right now, if I were on any of these teams, I would just be baking into my numbers that it's gonna be low turnout," Corbett said.
If there is a low turnout, Corbett says it could give Vallas a boost of up to four percentage points, because his voters may be more motivated to cast ballots.